I received serious skepticism to my idea that wind turbines could significantly slow the wind speed on the Great Plains. One of the criticisms came from an atmospheric scientist I asked to weigh in on the matter. The problem is, I did not find either of their arguments convincing, although I concede Daniel knows more about it than I do.
In responding to them, I came up with an approach for calculating the total power of the wind in the Great Plains. Wind is caused by differences in temperature and pressure as a result of uneven solar heating. Hence the total energy of the wind is a small fraction of the total solar flux. I’m guessing that the amount of solar flux that is actually converted into wind energy is below 1%, probably far below that, but I’ll use 1% until someone gives me a better number.
The Great Plains is 1.4 millions square miles in area, including parts in Canada and Mexico. The average solar flux is about 4 MWh/day/m2 (using numbers for Des Moines, IA.) There are 2.6 million square meters per square mile, making the total solar flux on the Great Plains about 14 trillion MWh/day. Using my 1% conversion efficiency into wind, and 24h in a day, we get total average wind power on the great Plains of 6,000 million MW. That energy is currently absorbed by objects on the ground and internal frictional losses in the air. To create significant wind speed drops, a significant fraction of that 6,000 million MW would have to be absorbed by wind turbines.
In my previous article, I used another approach to calculate that 1 million MW of wind turbines would be enough to significantly slow the wind on the Great Plains. Hence, unless my 1% solar-to-wind conversion efficiency is too high by three orders of magnitude, it looks like the skeptics were right.