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	<title>Comments on: Managing the Peak Fossil Fuel Transition </title>
	<atom:link href="http://cleanenergywonk.com/2009/11/16/managing-the-peak-fossil-fuel-transition%c2%a0/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://cleanenergywonk.com/2009/11/16/managing-the-peak-fossil-fuel-transition%c2%a0/</link>
	<description>Thoughts on Clean Energy Policy and Economics.</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Mon, 07 May 2012 03:23:28 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>By: Are there alternatives to oil? » Peak Oil Tasmania</title>
		<link>http://cleanenergywonk.com/2009/11/16/managing-the-peak-fossil-fuel-transition%c2%a0/#comment-18187</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Are there alternatives to oil? » Peak Oil Tasmania]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Aug 2011 23:40:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cleanenergywonk.com/?p=368#comment-18187</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[...] sources including the pioneering work by C.J. Cleveland, H.T. Odum, Nate Hagens, Dr Charles Hall, Tom Konrad and Gail Tverberg. The numbers are illustrative, recognising that EROEI figures vary from [...]]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] sources including the pioneering work by C.J. Cleveland, H.T. Odum, Nate Hagens, Dr Charles Hall, Tom Konrad and Gail Tverberg. The numbers are illustrative, recognising that EROEI figures vary from [...]</p>
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		<title>By: EROEI of electricity generation</title>
		<link>http://cleanenergywonk.com/2009/11/16/managing-the-peak-fossil-fuel-transition%c2%a0/#comment-18137</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[EROEI of electricity generation]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 May 2011 22:04:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cleanenergywonk.com/?p=368#comment-18137</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[...] graphics based on the data. Firstly we adapted the bubble charts idea used by Tom Konrad, the Clean Energy Wonk. His idea is to calculate the energy internal rate of return (EIRR) for technologies. This is the [...]]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] graphics based on the data. Firstly we adapted the bubble charts idea used by Tom Konrad, the Clean Energy Wonk. His idea is to calculate the energy internal rate of return (EIRR) for technologies. This is the [...]</p>
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		<title>By: The ERoEI of Energy Efficiency &#171; Clean Energy Wonk</title>
		<link>http://cleanenergywonk.com/2009/11/16/managing-the-peak-fossil-fuel-transition%c2%a0/#comment-17892</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[The ERoEI of Energy Efficiency &#171; Clean Energy Wonk]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Aug 2010 03:10:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cleanenergywonk.com/?p=368#comment-17892</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[...] Building &#183;Tagged Green Building, ICFS, PFB Corp, SIPS   In previous articles, I&#8217;ve often claimed that the Energy Return on Energy Invested (ERoEI) for energy efficiency measures is much hi.... This was based on the logic that a high ERoEI is needed to sustain the high financial returns from [...]]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Building &#183;Tagged Green Building, ICFS, PFB Corp, SIPS   In previous articles, I&#8217;ve often claimed that the Energy Return on Energy Invested (ERoEI) for energy efficiency measures is much hi&#8230;. This was based on the logic that a high ERoEI is needed to sustain the high financial returns from [...]</p>
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		<title>By: The EROEI of energy balancing &#171; oCo Carbon blog</title>
		<link>http://cleanenergywonk.com/2009/11/16/managing-the-peak-fossil-fuel-transition%c2%a0/#comment-17819</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[The EROEI of energy balancing &#171; oCo Carbon blog]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 May 2010 08:41:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cleanenergywonk.com/?p=368#comment-17819</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[...] can play a part (edit: potentially a very large part as pointed out by Dave in the comments, Tom Konrad, and Mark Barret in the work linked to below) in reducing the peaks of demand when power is not [...]]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] can play a part (edit: potentially a very large part as pointed out by Dave in the comments, Tom Konrad, and Mark Barret in the work linked to below) in reducing the peaks of demand when power is not [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Tom</title>
		<link>http://cleanenergywonk.com/2009/11/16/managing-the-peak-fossil-fuel-transition%c2%a0/#comment-17814</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 25 May 2010 00:28:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cleanenergywonk.com/?p=368#comment-17814</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Regarding the EROEI of storage and transmission, have you seen this post http://cleanenergywonk.com/2009/12/29/the-cost-of-transmission/ where I try to compare the two to each other?

The underlying premise premise is that a transmission line across time zones can be seen as virtual storage... you &quot;charge&quot; by sending power to the other time zone/region, and discharge by bringing it from the other region.

Figuring out just how long a wire you need to get somewhere that the power supply/demand balance is sufficiently different to enable this technique is a judgment call, but I figured 1000 miles (one time zone) was about right.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Regarding the EROEI of storage and transmission, have you seen this post <a href="http://cleanenergywonk.com/2009/12/29/the-cost-of-transmission/" rel="nofollow">http://cleanenergywonk.com/2009/12/29/the-cost-of-transmission/</a> where I try to compare the two to each other?</p>
<p>The underlying premise premise is that a transmission line across time zones can be seen as virtual storage&#8230; you &#8220;charge&#8221; by sending power to the other time zone/region, and discharge by bringing it from the other region.</p>
<p>Figuring out just how long a wire you need to get somewhere that the power supply/demand balance is sufficiently different to enable this technique is a judgment call, but I figured 1000 miles (one time zone) was about right.</p>
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		<title>By: Jamie Bull</title>
		<link>http://cleanenergywonk.com/2009/11/16/managing-the-peak-fossil-fuel-transition%c2%a0/#comment-17808</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jamie Bull]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 May 2010 16:58:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cleanenergywonk.com/?p=368#comment-17808</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Then I&#039;m glad to be of service! I&#039;ll be posting more of the raw data soon (day job permitting), as well as some analysis of the EROEI (or life cycle efficiency) of energy storage and transmission.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Then I&#8217;m glad to be of service! I&#8217;ll be posting more of the raw data soon (day job permitting), as well as some analysis of the EROEI (or life cycle efficiency) of energy storage and transmission.</p>
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		<title>By: Tom</title>
		<link>http://cleanenergywonk.com/2009/11/16/managing-the-peak-fossil-fuel-transition%c2%a0/#comment-17807</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 May 2010 16:52:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cleanenergywonk.com/?p=368#comment-17807</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Jamie,
    You&#039;re numbers are probably more accurate than mine... did not do any literature search, and just used the EROI numbers from the chart at teh start of the article.  I then made the simplifying assumption that the energy costs of operating fossil fuel plants roughly matched the financial operating costs. That is, I assumed that the embodied energy of a coal plant accounted for approximately 50% of its energy cost, 25% for nat gas, and 95% for renewables in order to determine the timing of the energy inputs.

    My intent was that people like you would do exactly what you did: get better data and make more accurate calculations of EIRR for comparing energy technologies as a supplement to EROI.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jamie,<br />
    You&#8217;re numbers are probably more accurate than mine&#8230; did not do any literature search, and just used the EROI numbers from the chart at teh start of the article.  I then made the simplifying assumption that the energy costs of operating fossil fuel plants roughly matched the financial operating costs. That is, I assumed that the embodied energy of a coal plant accounted for approximately 50% of its energy cost, 25% for nat gas, and 95% for renewables in order to determine the timing of the energy inputs.</p>
<p>    My intent was that people like you would do exactly what you did: get better data and make more accurate calculations of EIRR for comparing energy technologies as a supplement to EROI.</p>
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		<title>By: Jamie Bull</title>
		<link>http://cleanenergywonk.com/2009/11/16/managing-the-peak-fossil-fuel-transition%c2%a0/#comment-17806</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jamie Bull]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 May 2010 15:01:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cleanenergywonk.com/?p=368#comment-17806</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Some of the numbers you have in your chart are very much at odds with what I found in quite a long literature search. In particular the numbers for coal and gas are a long way from what I&#039;d expect.

Are these numbers just for getting coal/gas out of the ground? I find it hard to believe that after transport, flue scrubbing and other conversion inefficiency you&#039;d still have anything like the EROEIs and EIRRs you&#039;re showing for coal and gas once it&#039;s been turned into electricity.

On the other hand, I didn&#039;t find a lot of data for coal- or gas-fired generation so I am willing to be corrected. If you or anyone else has sources for different figures, please post them in the comments here or at the oCo carbon blog.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Some of the numbers you have in your chart are very much at odds with what I found in quite a long literature search. In particular the numbers for coal and gas are a long way from what I&#8217;d expect.</p>
<p>Are these numbers just for getting coal/gas out of the ground? I find it hard to believe that after transport, flue scrubbing and other conversion inefficiency you&#8217;d still have anything like the EROEIs and EIRRs you&#8217;re showing for coal and gas once it&#8217;s been turned into electricity.</p>
<p>On the other hand, I didn&#8217;t find a lot of data for coal- or gas-fired generation so I am willing to be corrected. If you or anyone else has sources for different figures, please post them in the comments here or at the oCo carbon blog.</p>
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		<title>By: EROEI of electricity generation &#171; oCo Carbon blog</title>
		<link>http://cleanenergywonk.com/2009/11/16/managing-the-peak-fossil-fuel-transition%c2%a0/#comment-17804</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[EROEI of electricity generation &#171; oCo Carbon blog]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 May 2010 17:27:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cleanenergywonk.com/?p=368#comment-17804</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[...] graphics based on the data. Firstly we adapted the bubble charts idea used by Tom Konrad, the Clean Energy Wonk. His idea is to calculate the energy internal rate of return (EIRR) for technologies. This is the [...]]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] graphics based on the data. Firstly we adapted the bubble charts idea used by Tom Konrad, the Clean Energy Wonk. His idea is to calculate the energy internal rate of return (EIRR) for technologies. This is the [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Roger Brown</title>
		<link>http://cleanenergywonk.com/2009/11/16/managing-the-peak-fossil-fuel-transition%c2%a0/#comment-17795</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Roger Brown]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 May 2010 16:54:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cleanenergywonk.com/?p=368#comment-17795</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Without denying the economic relevance of energy consumed by the energy producing process, I am firmly convinced that EROEI should not be used as central concept in the economic analysis of energy production. At first glance EROEI has a seductive simplicty which is very attractive. If you and I each have X units of energy to &#039;invest&#039; in energy production, it seems obvious that whichever of us comes back with the most excess energy relative to the original investment must have made the wisest investment choice. However, this &#039;one resource in and one resource out&#039; metaphor derived by analogy from financial investing is false. The investment of money is really the investment of a variety of production resources, and the return is to total ensemble of economic goods and services which result from that investment. All resource inputs musts be considered in order to determine the profitability of the investment. 

The economics of energy investment follows the same rules. For example, in order to understand the economics of biofuel production one must consider the opportunity cost of all of the required inputs of finite resource such as farm land, irrigation water, labor, etc. Yes, the input of energy must also be considered, although this energy should be counted as detraction from profit rather than as a cost. Properly speaking the production of energy does not have an energy cost. If I manufacture some new kind of electronic toy, the production of this product has an energy cost because one of two energy related outcomes must occur:

1. Some energy producer must produce extra energy in order to allow my manfacturing process to function.

2. Some other economic producer must give up energy in order to allow my manufacturing process to function.  

However, if I use energy to produce energy and I have a postive energy balance, neither of above energy outcomes occurs. The energy I consume must be subtracted from my gross output in order to calculate my energy profit, but no energy cost to the larger economy in incurred. The real cost of producing my net output is cost of the non-energy resources consumed such as land, irrigation water, labor etc. 

Of course EROEI is qualitatively correlated to total resource costs. Energy producing processes with high EROEI tend to have low resource costs and energy producing processes low EROEI tend to have high resource costs. In fact in the limit that EROEI approaches 1 the resources cost approach infinity since larger and larger amounts of resources must be invested to produce 1 unit of useful (or net) energy.

However, I believe that the resource cost intensity of net energy production is a more fundamental concept than EROEI. For example if one is used to thinking in terms of resource costs then it is immediately clear that higher EROEI water cooled CSP plants in the desert are going to lose out to lower EROEI air cooled ones because of the high opportunity costs of water consumption.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Without denying the economic relevance of energy consumed by the energy producing process, I am firmly convinced that EROEI should not be used as central concept in the economic analysis of energy production. At first glance EROEI has a seductive simplicty which is very attractive. If you and I each have X units of energy to &#8216;invest&#8217; in energy production, it seems obvious that whichever of us comes back with the most excess energy relative to the original investment must have made the wisest investment choice. However, this &#8216;one resource in and one resource out&#8217; metaphor derived by analogy from financial investing is false. The investment of money is really the investment of a variety of production resources, and the return is to total ensemble of economic goods and services which result from that investment. All resource inputs musts be considered in order to determine the profitability of the investment. </p>
<p>The economics of energy investment follows the same rules. For example, in order to understand the economics of biofuel production one must consider the opportunity cost of all of the required inputs of finite resource such as farm land, irrigation water, labor, etc. Yes, the input of energy must also be considered, although this energy should be counted as detraction from profit rather than as a cost. Properly speaking the production of energy does not have an energy cost. If I manufacture some new kind of electronic toy, the production of this product has an energy cost because one of two energy related outcomes must occur:</p>
<p>1. Some energy producer must produce extra energy in order to allow my manfacturing process to function.</p>
<p>2. Some other economic producer must give up energy in order to allow my manufacturing process to function.  </p>
<p>However, if I use energy to produce energy and I have a postive energy balance, neither of above energy outcomes occurs. The energy I consume must be subtracted from my gross output in order to calculate my energy profit, but no energy cost to the larger economy in incurred. The real cost of producing my net output is cost of the non-energy resources consumed such as land, irrigation water, labor etc. </p>
<p>Of course EROEI is qualitatively correlated to total resource costs. Energy producing processes with high EROEI tend to have low resource costs and energy producing processes low EROEI tend to have high resource costs. In fact in the limit that EROEI approaches 1 the resources cost approach infinity since larger and larger amounts of resources must be invested to produce 1 unit of useful (or net) energy.</p>
<p>However, I believe that the resource cost intensity of net energy production is a more fundamental concept than EROEI. For example if one is used to thinking in terms of resource costs then it is immediately clear that higher EROEI water cooled CSP plants in the desert are going to lose out to lower EROEI air cooled ones because of the high opportunity costs of water consumption.</p>
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		<title>By: Jamie Bull</title>
		<link>http://cleanenergywonk.com/2009/11/16/managing-the-peak-fossil-fuel-transition%c2%a0/#comment-17784</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jamie Bull]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Apr 2010 16:57:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cleanenergywonk.com/?p=368#comment-17784</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Thanks. I&#039;ll be sure and post a link once it&#039;s in the public domain.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks. I&#8217;ll be sure and post a link once it&#8217;s in the public domain.</p>
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		<title>By: Tom Konrad</title>
		<link>http://cleanenergywonk.com/2009/11/16/managing-the-peak-fossil-fuel-transition%c2%a0/#comment-17783</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Konrad]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Apr 2010 16:09:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cleanenergywonk.com/?p=368#comment-17783</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#039;m not sure I recall where I got all my data, but if you&#039;d like to modify the bubble chart to reflect your numbers for EROI, you can find the spreadsheet I used in my calculations here:
http://tomkonrad.com/blog/EIRR.xls]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m not sure I recall where I got all my data, but if you&#8217;d like to modify the bubble chart to reflect your numbers for EROI, you can find the spreadsheet I used in my calculations here:<br />
<a href="http://tomkonrad.com/blog/EIRR.xls" rel="nofollow">http://tomkonrad.com/blog/EIRR.xls</a></p>
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		<title>By: Jamie Bull</title>
		<link>http://cleanenergywonk.com/2009/11/16/managing-the-peak-fossil-fuel-transition%c2%a0/#comment-17782</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jamie Bull]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Apr 2010 13:53:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cleanenergywonk.com/?p=368#comment-17782</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Very interesting post, Tom. I am planning on using your idea of EIRR in a piece of work I&#039;m engaged in at the moment as I think the bubble chart would make a very nice way of tracking changing EROEI / EIRR over time.

One question though: are the data in the bubble chart just the SciAm data? The fossil fuel ones seem a long way off what I have found in the literature. Coal fired power stations seem to average at an EROEI of around 5.5 (1.5 with CCS) and an EIRR of 17% (8% with CCS).]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Very interesting post, Tom. I am planning on using your idea of EIRR in a piece of work I&#8217;m engaged in at the moment as I think the bubble chart would make a very nice way of tracking changing EROEI / EIRR over time.</p>
<p>One question though: are the data in the bubble chart just the SciAm data? The fossil fuel ones seem a long way off what I have found in the literature. Coal fired power stations seem to average at an EROEI of around 5.5 (1.5 with CCS) and an EIRR of 17% (8% with CCS).</p>
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		<title>By: Tom</title>
		<link>http://cleanenergywonk.com/2009/11/16/managing-the-peak-fossil-fuel-transition%c2%a0/#comment-17657</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Nov 2009 23:54:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cleanenergywonk.com/?p=368#comment-17657</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[GraniteViewpoint,
  NPV is generally a superior analysis tool compared to IRR (see:http://www.wikicfo.com/Wiki/Default.aspx?Page=NPV%20vs%20IRR&amp;AspxAutoDetectCookieSupport=1) but IRR has the advantage that it&#039;s easier grasp for the uninitiated, which is why I use EIRR here, rather than &quot;ENPV.&quot;   

However, if you want to add complexity, such as riskiness of *energy* flows, and project size, I agree that ENPV will be the way to go.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>GraniteViewpoint,<br />
  NPV is generally a superior analysis tool compared to IRR (see:<a href="http://www.wikicfo.com/Wiki/Default.aspx?Page=NPV%20vs%20IRR&#038;AspxAutoDetectCookieSupport=1" rel="nofollow">http://www.wikicfo.com/Wiki/Default.aspx?Page=NPV%20vs%20IRR&#038;AspxAutoDetectCookieSupport=1</a>) but IRR has the advantage that it&#8217;s easier grasp for the uninitiated, which is why I use EIRR here, rather than &#8220;ENPV.&#8221;   </p>
<p>However, if you want to add complexity, such as riskiness of *energy* flows, and project size, I agree that ENPV will be the way to go.</p>
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		<title>By: GraniteViewpoint</title>
		<link>http://cleanenergywonk.com/2009/11/16/managing-the-peak-fossil-fuel-transition%c2%a0/#comment-17656</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[GraniteViewpoint]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Nov 2009 23:17:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cleanenergywonk.com/?p=368#comment-17656</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Your EIRR concept is very interesting.  Thanks for posting it.  One thing it doesn&#039;t consider is the riskiness of the cashflows derived from a given generation approach.

Financing a nuclear plant is a lot tougher and costlier than financing a wind plant these days and thus the wind plant could be a good bet even with a lower EIRR.  If you consider power purchase agreements or the fact that the plant&#039;s output is roughly inflation indexed), it seems like the project risk is the major cost-of-capital factor.

I know it isn&#039;t a direct mapping, but it seems like NPV might be a better match, since you could include a discount rate that accounts for the riskiness of a project&#039;s cashflows.  Not sure how you normalize it all though!]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Your EIRR concept is very interesting.  Thanks for posting it.  One thing it doesn&#8217;t consider is the riskiness of the cashflows derived from a given generation approach.</p>
<p>Financing a nuclear plant is a lot tougher and costlier than financing a wind plant these days and thus the wind plant could be a good bet even with a lower EIRR.  If you consider power purchase agreements or the fact that the plant&#8217;s output is roughly inflation indexed), it seems like the project risk is the major cost-of-capital factor.</p>
<p>I know it isn&#8217;t a direct mapping, but it seems like NPV might be a better match, since you could include a discount rate that accounts for the riskiness of a project&#8217;s cashflows.  Not sure how you normalize it all though!</p>
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		<title>By: A Little More On IRR and EIRR &#171; Clean Energy Wonk</title>
		<link>http://cleanenergywonk.com/2009/11/16/managing-the-peak-fossil-fuel-transition%c2%a0/#comment-17646</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[A Little More On IRR and EIRR &#171; Clean Energy Wonk]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Nov 2009 03:59:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cleanenergywonk.com/?p=368#comment-17646</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[...] (IRR), which I used as the foundation for Energy Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) in my article Managing the Peak Fossil Fuel Transition, you can find a good discussion of IRR on [...]]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] (IRR), which I used as the foundation for Energy Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) in my article Managing the Peak Fossil Fuel Transition, you can find a good discussion of IRR on [...]</p>
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